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Qual 502018 Lake Superior Regional
Red142
3294128.0
4536120.2
2511123.7
Blue393
2538101.7
3100145.1
3058123.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297243100200400500142393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3294
#17
128.05.5
112.4→117.9
Auto16.3
Teleop91.0
End21.7
blue by 17.1
3100
#4
145.16.2
117.3→123.6
Auto21.5
Teleop112.7
End11.7
Second
2511
#33
123.74.5
114.8→119.3
Auto17.3
Teleop87.0
End16.8
red by 0.1
3058
#30
123.60.2
108.7→108.5
Auto18.2
Teleop93.8
End11.7
Third
4536
#50
120.22.6
126.2→123.6
Auto14.2
Teleop88.1
End21.7
red by 18.5
2538
#36
101.70.3
102.6→102.2
Auto16.3
Teleop76.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed