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Red227
5299128.0
3755127.1
4009129.6
Blue253
374099.3
5253124.5
6217136.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3461800100300400500227253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#21
129.61.5
138.4136.9
Auto18.9
Teleop93.1
End16.1
blue by 6.5
136.13.7
109.7113.4
Auto17.2
Teleop107.8
End11.9
Second
5299
#12
128.06.4
115.6122.0
Auto15.9
Teleop95.4
End17.2
red by 3.5
5253
#57
124.53.1
110.5113.6
Auto15.5
Teleop95.1
End13.7
Third
3755
#37
127.14.0
122.0126.0
Auto13.9
Teleop100.9
End8.5
red by 27.7
3740
#61
99.32.1
104.5102.4
Auto14.9
Teleop81.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed