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Red213
4741118.8
6628143.6
4397120.3
Blue462
6160138.2
5913120.8
4539204.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383990100200300500600213462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.68.6
118.4127.0
Auto19.4
Teleop106.5
End18.3
blue by 61.0
204.62.5
190.5193.1
Auto27.4
Teleop148.6
End30.4
Second
4397
#58
120.31.1
114.8113.8
Auto17.7
Teleop87.9
End14.8
blue by 17.9
6160
#18
138.27.4
109.9117.3
Auto17.9
Teleop100.1
End21.6
Third
4741
#44
118.81.8
113.3115.1
Auto16.6
Teleop89.8
End14.9
blue by 2.0
5913
#60
120.80.1
116.2116.1
Auto15.1
Teleop91.6
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed