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Qual 732018 Lake Superior Regional
Red304
4397120.3
2264121.7
5690147.0
Blue347
6628143.6
2977155.3
6047125.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274380100200300500600304347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#31
147.01.9
141.9→143.8
Auto17.5
Teleop106.7
End25.1
blue by 8.3
2977
#8
155.36.4
142.3→148.8
Auto17.7
Teleop114.3
End24.4
Second
2264
#35
121.72.2
117.2→119.5
Auto17.5
Teleop92.0
End18.2
blue by 21.9
6628
#5
143.63.9
132.6→136.5
Auto19.4
Teleop106.5
End18.3
Third
4397
#58
120.32.7
113.0→115.8
Auto17.7
Teleop87.9
End14.8
blue by 5.1
6047
#39
125.31.9
121.8→123.7
Auto15.1
Teleop90.8
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed