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Red354
4009129.6
2202155.9
3100145.1
Blue233
2052171.0
2538101.7
4011142.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334306100200400500600354233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#14
155.93.9
147.6151.4
Auto19.3
Teleop115.0
End22.2
blue by 15.0
171.04.9
161.2166.1
Auto26.7
Teleop122.8
End20.6
Second
145.13.5
138.5142.0
Auto21.5
Teleop112.7
End11.7
red by 2.5
4011
#23
142.63.9
137.0140.9
Auto15.7
Teleop107.8
End22.0
Third
4009
#21
129.61.8
133.8132.0
Auto18.9
Teleop93.1
End16.1
red by 27.9
2538
#36
101.70.7
103.4102.7
Auto16.3
Teleop76.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed