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Red349
6217136.1
6160138.2
2526132.5
Blue278
3293141.8
6318122.5
4607134.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27931402004006008001,0001,2001,400349278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6160
#18
138.22.7
131.6134.3
Auto17.9
Teleop100.1
End21.6
blue by 3.7
3293
#20
141.82.2
137.4139.6
Auto14.5
Teleop106.6
End18.0
Second
136.15.2
123.6128.8
Auto17.2
Teleop107.8
End11.9
red by 1.8
4607
#13
134.41.4
127.9129.3
Auto16.1
Teleop105.8
End15.7
Third
2526
#11
132.50.0
130.1130.1
Auto14.1
Teleop99.8
End19.1
red by 10.0
6318
#52
122.50.1
121.6121.7
Auto17.6
Teleop93.1
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed