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Qual 82018 Lake Superior Regional
Red100
5542127.1
1816129.6
4480101.5
Blue352
3755127.1
5464136.3
3100145.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270285100200400500100352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#27
129.614.9
84.2→99.1
Auto17.0
Teleop95.3
End17.5
blue by 15.5
3100
#4
145.116.2
72.4→88.7
Auto21.5
Teleop112.7
End11.7
Second
5542
#19
127.117.6
60.7→78.2
Auto15.3
Teleop93.5
End19.9
blue by 9.2
5464
#16
136.316.2
72.6→88.8
Auto14.1
Teleop98.7
End27.3
Third
4480
#45
101.516.5
69.8→86.4
Auto15.6
Teleop75.8
End10.3
blue by 25.6
3755
#37
127.115.3
80.6→95.9
Auto13.9
Teleop100.9
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed