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Red293
2175138.5
3122115.1
6160138.2
Blue306
6022129.0
2526132.5
2202155.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2622920100200400500293306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2175
#42
138.515.1
82.697.7
Auto20.0
Teleop102.7
End18.2
blue by 17.4
2202
#14
155.914.5
88.4102.9
Auto19.3
Teleop115.0
End22.2
Second
6160
#18
138.217.5
61.478.9
Auto17.9
Teleop100.1
End21.6
red by 5.7
2526
#11
132.515.2
81.696.8
Auto14.1
Teleop99.8
End19.1
Third
3122
#54
115.117.1
64.982.0
Auto17.9
Teleop79.7
End21.4
blue by 13.9
129.017.5
60.978.4
Auto14.7
Teleop98.3
End20.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed