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Red440
2202155.9
2977155.3
3294128.0
Blue281
4166101.8
3082135.7
5143102.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4161950100300500600700440281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#14
155.92.1
151.4153.6
Auto19.3
Teleop115.0
End22.2
red by 20.2
3082
#48
135.71.0
132.3133.3
Auto18.4
Teleop96.6
End20.1
Second
155.34.4
148.8153.2
Auto17.7
Teleop114.3
End24.4
red by 53.2
5143
#56
102.00.3
102.3102.0
Auto10.6
Teleop82.8
End11.7
Third
3294
#17
128.03.4
123.7127.1
Auto16.3
Teleop91.0
End21.7
red by 26.2
4166
#59
101.80.3
102.1101.8
Auto13.9
Teleop81.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed