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Red398
4198152.4
4215119.7
5542127.1
Blue211
4778123.8
3122115.1
4741118.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361272100200300400500600398211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#10
152.40.5
149.5150.1
Auto17.2
Teleop109.8
End25.1
red by 28.7
4778
#53
123.82.5
121.3123.8
Auto13.8
Teleop99.2
End12.5
Second
5542
#19
127.14.4
120.1124.6
Auto15.3
Teleop93.5
End19.9
red by 8.3
4741
#44
118.81.1
117.0118.1
Auto16.6
Teleop89.8
End14.9
Third
4215
#51
119.72.1
117.6119.7
Auto17.6
Teleop88.6
End17.4
red by 4.6
3122
#54
115.11.2
113.8115.1
Auto17.9
Teleop79.7
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed