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Red240
6628143.6
5348127.9
3291104.5
Blue381
2511123.7
6217136.1
4238108.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317294100200400500240381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.62.7
139.2141.9
Auto19.4
Teleop106.5
End18.3
red by 7.4
136.14.7
128.8133.5
Auto17.2
Teleop107.8
End11.9
Second
5348
#26
127.91.4
126.5127.9
Auto17.2
Teleop95.5
End15.2
red by 4.2
2511
#33
123.70.4
121.9122.3
Auto17.3
Teleop87.0
End16.8
Third
3291
#62
104.50.9
105.5104.5
Auto15.0
Teleop81.5
End7.0
blue by 3.8
4238
#28
108.41.4
109.7108.4
Auto12.2
Teleop80.3
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed