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Red220
4217105.5
6160138.2
5253124.5
Blue422
6720117.6
93146.1
2538101.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297301150200250350400450220422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6160
#18
138.23.0
134.3137.3
Auto17.9
Teleop100.1
End21.6
blue by 7.9
93
#7
146.13.2
139.8143.0
Auto18.4
Teleop111.5
End20.4
Second
5253
#57
124.51.6
122.9124.5
Auto15.5
Teleop95.1
End13.7
red by 6.8
6720
#22
117.60.9
116.7117.6
Auto15.9
Teleop93.4
End14.2
Third
4217
#55
105.52.0
103.0105.0
Auto12.8
Teleop83.4
End9.5
red by 3.8
2538
#36
101.71.0
102.7101.7
Auto16.3
Teleop76.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned