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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red385
2512149.7
3750184.3
3871140.7
Blue315
3276181.0
4230149.7
5638131.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378346100200300500600700385315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3750
#4
184.30.4
183.5→183.9
Auto18.1
Teleop137.3
End28.8
red by 3.3
3276
#16
181.00.5
180.6→181.0
Auto23.3
Teleop130.5
End30.2
Second
2512
#14
149.70.1
149.7→149.8
Auto21.4
Teleop112.3
End12.8
Level
4230
#6
149.70.4
149.3→149.7
Auto17.7
Teleop109.6
End23.6
Third
3871
#17
140.70.7
139.0→139.7
Auto16.5
Teleop110.1
End14.8
red by 9.0
5638
#12
131.70.4
131.3→131.7
Auto13.6
Teleop103.6
End18.0