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Red433
2451188.4
1625178.0
2225126.2
Blue189
2472146.6
5278144.9
2574123.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411286100200500600700433189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.40.6
186.2186.8
Auto21.1
Teleop145.8
End22.4
red by 41.8
2472
#13
146.60.3
146.1146.4
Auto20.2
Teleop114.8
End13.7
Second
178.00.5
175.9176.4
Auto27.9
Teleop120.5
End32.2
red by 33.1
144.90.8
143.4144.2
Auto19.4
Teleop111.3
End15.4
Third
2225
#41
126.20.6
124.3124.8
Auto13.4
Teleop99.3
End12.6
red by 3.1
2574
#19
123.20.3
122.7123.0
Auto18.8
Teleop90.4
End13.6