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Red147
2574123.2
5626103.7
2491151.8
Blue364
2175166.9
4778129.1
6758131.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30332302004006008001,0001,200147364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#11
151.81.2
147.3148.5
Auto21.1
Teleop111.3
End20.4
blue by 15.0
166.92.3
139.7142.0
Auto23.6
Teleop121.2
End22.9
Second
2574
#19
123.20.8
123.7124.5
Auto18.8
Teleop90.4
End13.6
blue by 8.5
6758
#26
131.71.5
123.9125.3
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End18.3
Third
5626
#43
103.710.3
87.397.6
Auto15.3
Teleop80.5
End10.4
blue by 25.4
4778
#34
129.10.2
125.2125.4
Auto15.9
Teleop102.6
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed