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Red319
4225110.2
5278144.9
5340109.9
Blue135
2207120.4
2667104.6
7273109.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232290100200400500319135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.910.7
86.096.7
Auto19.4
Teleop111.3
End15.4
red by 24.4
2207
#24
120.412.2
84.196.3
Auto14.4
Teleop91.7
End18.7
Second
4225
#49
110.29.0
70.879.8
Auto12.7
Teleop84.2
End15.1
red by 0.4
7273
#35
109.811.4
77.789.2
Auto15.4
Teleop77.2
End16.1
Third
5340
#38
109.911.2
71.382.5
Auto15.3
Teleop83.3
End13.5
red by 5.3
2667
#32
104.66.9
93.099.9
Auto14.2
Teleop80.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed