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Red392
2549137.1
2512149.7
5638131.7
Blue242
1625178.0
6912100.3
6758131.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843240100200400500600700392242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#14
149.71.1
138.8139.8
Auto21.4
Teleop112.3
End12.8
blue by 28.3
178.01.4
159.4160.8
Auto27.9
Teleop120.5
End32.2
Second
137.11.3
121.2122.4
Auto17.5
Teleop102.1
End18.7
red by 5.4
6758
#26
131.71.8
125.3127.2
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End18.3
Third
5638
#12
131.70.5
120.4120.9
Auto13.6
Teleop103.6
End18.0
red by 31.5
6912
#36
100.36.5
88.995.3
Auto15.2
Teleop72.7
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned