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Qual 222018 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red294
3202119.5
2574123.2
4277117.1
Blue244
7019122.2
2129120.5
5626103.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602860100200400500600294244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2574
#19
123.20.9
124.5→123.6
Auto18.8
Teleop90.4
End13.6
red by 1.0
7019
#42
122.28.5
91.6→100.1
Auto14.6
Teleop93.9
End13.6
Second
3202
#39
119.56.9
92.5→99.4
Auto16.0
Teleop92.3
End11.2
blue by 1.0
2129
#40
120.59.3
93.3→102.6
Auto13.4
Teleop92.1
End17.2
Third
4277
#33
117.13.9
98.9→102.7
Auto15.4
Teleop90.7
End14.4
red by 13.4
5626
#43
103.72.9
97.6→100.5
Auto15.3
Teleop80.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed