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Red316
3313151.4
2654113.4
7273109.8
Blue309
3633166.6
171113.8
2225126.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373450100200300400500600700316309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
#10
151.40.2
142.3142.0
Auto18.9
Teleop107.2
End26.7
blue by 15.2
166.62.1
146.8148.8
Auto18.7
Teleop129.0
End21.7
Second
2654
#48
113.44.3
91.796.1
Auto14.4
Teleop85.7
End14.9
blue by 12.9
2225
#41
126.26.5
98.3104.8
Auto13.4
Teleop99.3
End12.6
Third
7273
#35
109.85.8
89.295.0
Auto15.4
Teleop77.2
End16.1
blue by 3.9
171
#52
113.83.4
112.5115.9
Auto14.6
Teleop86.8
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed