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Red311
2525108.9
2451188.4
3082139.1
Blue104
4225110.2
3277139.7
2177112.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482410100200300400500600311104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.41.6
173.3174.9
Auto21.1
Teleop145.8
End22.4
red by 48.7
3277
#20
139.71.6
128.9130.5
Auto17.1
Teleop108.0
End14.7
Second
3082
#22
139.10.9
135.6134.6
Auto19.0
Teleop98.0
End23.2
red by 27.1
2177
#29
112.00.5
111.3111.8
Auto11.3
Teleop90.3
End10.4
Third
2525
#44
108.99.1
94.1103.1
Auto12.9
Teleop85.6
End11.8
blue by 1.3
4225
#49
110.29.0
79.888.9
Auto12.7
Teleop84.2
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed