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Red258
4778129.1
2207120.4
4693128.7
Blue281
2667104.6
2227155.9
2472146.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272314100200400500258281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4778
#34
129.11.0
125.4126.4
Auto15.9
Teleop102.6
End10.9
blue by 26.7
2227
#23
155.91.9
145.1147.0
Auto17.1
Teleop115.7
End22.9
Second
4693
#46
128.710.8
97.1107.8
Auto16.5
Teleop97.9
End15.6
blue by 17.9
2472
#13
146.61.4
131.8133.2
Auto20.2
Teleop114.8
End13.7
Third
2207
#24
120.46.3
96.3102.6
Auto14.4
Teleop91.7
End18.7
red by 15.8
2667
#32
104.62.8
99.9102.7
Auto14.2
Teleop80.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed