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Red348
5638131.7
7258113.1
2574123.2
Blue200
2855110.8
7273109.8
3202119.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293265100150200350400450348200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5638
#12
131.71.3
120.9122.2
Auto13.6
Teleop103.6
End18.0
red by 12.2
3202
#39
119.54.9
99.4104.3
Auto16.0
Teleop92.3
End11.2
Second
2574
#19
123.20.7
123.6122.9
Auto18.8
Teleop90.4
End13.6
red by 12.4
2855
#54
110.83.9
109.5113.4
Auto13.7
Teleop84.1
End11.4
Third
7258
#31
113.15.1
95.8100.9
Auto17.4
Teleop88.2
End7.4
red by 3.3
7273
#35
109.85.8
95.0100.8
Auto15.4
Teleop77.2
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed