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Red136
4663127.2
6758131.7
3610109.7
Blue413
2175166.9
4277117.1
2883146.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393400100200300400500600700136413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6758
#26
131.71.4
127.2128.6
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End18.3
blue by 35.2
166.92.2
144.5146.7
Auto23.6
Teleop121.2
End22.9
Second
4663
#45
127.26.6
115.1121.7
Auto15.3
Teleop87.3
End24.0
blue by 18.9
2883
#28
146.10.5
146.6146.1
Auto15.6
Teleop113.5
End17.7
Third
3610
#37
109.73.5
98.9102.4
Auto15.2
Teleop78.6
End16.7
blue by 7.3
4277
#33
117.12.9
102.7105.6
Auto15.4
Teleop90.7
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed