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Red230
2654113.4
3082139.1
2177112.0
Blue501
2491151.8
3042151.4
1625178.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2114190100300500600230501

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3082
#22
139.10.9
134.6133.8
Auto19.0
Teleop98.0
End23.2
blue by 38.9
178.01.2
160.8162.0
Auto27.9
Teleop120.5
End32.2
Second
2654
#48
113.44.8
96.1100.9
Auto14.4
Teleop85.7
End14.9
blue by 38.5
2491
#11
151.80.2
148.0147.8
Auto21.1
Teleop111.3
End20.4
Third
2177
#29
112.00.4
111.8111.4
Auto11.3
Teleop90.3
End10.4
blue by 39.4
3042
#15
151.41.0
143.4144.4
Auto23.6
Teleop112.6
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsEarned