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Red400
3871140.7
4663127.2
4665119.2
Blue169
4778129.1
2654113.4
5340109.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282265200250300350400400169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3871
#17
140.716.5
70.086.5
Auto16.5
Teleop110.1
End14.8
red by 11.6
4778
#34
129.11.4
123.8125.2
Auto15.9
Teleop102.6
End10.9
Second
4663
#45
127.215.7
76.892.6
Auto15.3
Teleop87.3
End24.0
red by 13.9
2654
#48
113.417.1
64.381.5
Auto14.4
Teleop85.7
End14.9
Third
4665
#47
119.21.3
118.8117.5
Auto17.2
Teleop91.3
End11.7
red by 9.3
5340
#38
109.918.5
52.871.3
Auto15.3
Teleop83.3
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed