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Red232
5278144.9
1625178.0
7273109.8
Blue393
2855110.8
2227155.9
2175166.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304300200250350400450232393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.02.9
154.7157.6
Auto27.9
Teleop120.5
End32.2
red by 11.1
166.91.1
138.5139.7
Auto23.6
Teleop121.2
End22.9
Second
144.916.6
69.486.0
Auto19.4
Teleop111.3
End15.4
blue by 11.0
2227
#23
155.90.9
142.0142.9
Auto17.1
Teleop115.7
End22.9
Third
7273
#35
109.832.1
109.877.7
Auto15.4
Teleop77.2
End16.1
blue by 1.0
2855
#54
110.816.3
71.687.9
Auto13.7
Teleop84.1
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed