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Red335
3610109.7
4230149.7
2606142.7
Blue257
5626103.7
5278144.9
4663127.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331281100200400500335257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.71.0
144.5145.4
Auto17.7
Teleop109.6
End23.6
red by 4.8
144.95.0
125.1130.1
Auto19.4
Teleop111.3
End15.4
Second
2606
#27
142.74.6
126.4131.0
Auto16.6
Teleop108.4
End19.9
red by 15.4
4663
#45
127.22.5
126.3128.8
Auto15.3
Teleop87.3
End24.0
Third
3610
#37
109.71.6
104.4106.0
Auto15.2
Teleop78.6
End16.7
red by 6.0
5626
#43
103.70.5
103.5103.1
Auto15.3
Teleop80.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed