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Red258
6758131.7
4665119.2
3276181.0
Blue338
3883133.5
7273109.8
3633166.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422950100200400500600258338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#16
181.00.9
176.9177.8
Auto23.3
Teleop130.5
End30.2
red by 14.4
166.62.2
154.8156.9
Auto18.7
Teleop129.0
End21.7
Second
6758
#26
131.70.1
130.2130.1
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End18.3
blue by 1.9
3883
#18
133.50.4
130.8130.4
Auto18.5
Teleop103.1
End10.7
Third
4665
#47
119.20.5
121.2120.7
Auto17.2
Teleop91.3
End11.7
red by 9.4
7273
#35
109.80.2
105.4105.6
Auto15.4
Teleop77.2
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed