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Red112
4665119.2
4225110.2
3610109.7
Blue365
6758131.7
529095.7
3042151.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271289100200400500112365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4665
#47
119.20.6
120.7120.1
Auto17.2
Teleop91.3
End11.7
blue by 32.2
3042
#15
151.40.7
147.5148.1
Auto23.6
Teleop112.6
End13.6
Second
4225
#49
110.23.5
102.9106.4
Auto12.7
Teleop84.2
End15.1
blue by 21.5
6758
#26
131.70.2
130.1129.9
Auto17.1
Teleop98.9
End18.3
Third
3610
#37
109.71.9
106.0107.9
Auto15.2
Teleop78.6
End16.7
red by 14.1
5290
#51
95.70.7
91.892.5
Auto14.7
Teleop76.4
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed