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Red362
2606142.7
3883133.5
7019122.2
Blue373
5340109.9
5638131.7
4230149.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3043100100200400500600700362373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2606
#27
142.73.9
131.0134.9
Auto16.6
Teleop108.4
End19.9
blue by 7.0
149.71.2
145.4146.6
Auto17.7
Teleop109.6
End23.6
Second
3883
#18
133.50.3
130.4130.7
Auto18.5
Teleop103.1
End10.7
red by 1.8
5638
#12
131.71.0
128.1129.1
Auto13.6
Teleop103.6
End18.0
Third
7019
#42
122.20.3
118.5118.8
Auto14.6
Teleop93.9
End13.6
red by 12.2
5340
#38
109.93.2
102.1105.4
Auto15.3
Teleop83.3
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned23%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed