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Red349
6912100.3
2177112.0
5278144.9
Blue132
4277117.1
4693128.7
171113.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280283150200250300350349132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.92.8
130.1132.9
Auto19.4
Teleop111.3
End15.4
red by 16.1
4693
#46
128.70.8
129.9130.7
Auto16.5
Teleop97.9
End15.6
Second
2177
#29
112.00.3
109.4109.7
Auto11.3
Teleop90.3
End10.4
blue by 5.1
4277
#33
117.11.8
114.7116.5
Auto15.4
Teleop90.7
End14.4
Third
6912
#36
100.30.6
99.699.1
Auto15.2
Teleop72.7
End13.2
blue by 13.5
171
#52
113.81.2
119.2118.0
Auto14.6
Teleop86.8
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed