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Red271
1625178.0
2525108.9
2667104.6
Blue424
3750184.3
3871140.7
3313151.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2484120100200300500600700271424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.01.8
168.9170.7
Auto27.9
Teleop120.5
End32.2
blue by 6.3
184.32.6
176.2178.8
Auto18.1
Teleop137.3
End28.8
Second
2525
#44
108.90.1
108.3108.2
Auto12.9
Teleop85.6
End11.8
blue by 42.5
3313
#10
151.40.6
146.3146.9
Auto18.9
Teleop107.2
End26.7
Third
2667
#32
104.60.4
102.0101.6
Auto14.2
Teleop80.5
End11.5
blue by 36.1
3871
#17
140.71.0
133.6134.5
Auto16.5
Teleop110.1
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsEarned