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Red215
2175166.9
5638131.7
7273109.8
Blue373
4230149.7
3042151.4
3277139.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3093700100200500600700215373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.92.4
158.5160.9
Auto23.6
Teleop121.2
End22.9
red by 15.5
3042
#15
151.41.4
148.1149.6
Auto23.6
Teleop112.6
End13.6
Second
5638
#12
131.71.2
129.1130.4
Auto13.6
Teleop103.6
End18.0
blue by 17.9
149.71.3
146.6147.9
Auto17.7
Teleop109.6
End23.6
Third
7273
#35
109.82.0
107.2109.2
Auto15.4
Teleop77.2
End16.1
blue by 29.9
3277
#20
139.71.7
135.8137.5
Auto17.1
Teleop108.0
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed