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Red365
2472146.6
3848122.8
2606142.7
Blue331
2227155.9
4225110.2
2654113.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336259100200300400500365331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#13
146.61.5
141.6143.1
Auto20.2
Teleop114.8
End13.7
blue by 9.2
2227
#23
155.90.3
153.9154.2
Auto17.1
Teleop115.7
End22.9
Second
2606
#27
142.73.8
134.9138.7
Auto16.6
Teleop108.4
End19.9
red by 29.3
2654
#48
113.40.5
111.0111.5
Auto14.4
Teleop85.7
End14.9
Third
3848
#25
122.80.5
120.5121.0
Auto14.7
Teleop100.8
End10.1
red by 12.5
4225
#49
110.21.4
106.4107.8
Auto12.7
Teleop84.2
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed