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Red296
2491151.8
2512149.7
171113.8
Blue272
4693128.7
336789.4
2451188.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318322200250300350400450296272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2491
#11
151.80.5
150.6151.1
Auto21.1
Teleop111.3
End20.4
blue by 36.5
188.42.1
181.4183.4
Auto21.1
Teleop145.8
End22.4
Second
2512
#14
149.72.0
146.3148.2
Auto21.4
Teleop112.3
End12.8
red by 20.9
4693
#46
128.71.0
130.7129.7
Auto16.5
Teleop97.9
End15.6
Third
171
#52
113.82.3
118.0115.7
Auto14.6
Teleop86.8
End12.0
red by 24.3
3367
#50
89.40.1
89.489.4
Auto17.8
Teleop63.6
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed64%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed