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Red343
3082139.1
2207120.4
3750184.3
Blue401
4665119.2
3313151.4
2574123.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400259100200300500600700343401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.32.7
178.8181.5
Auto18.1
Teleop137.3
End28.8
red by 32.9
3313
#10
151.41.0
146.9147.9
Auto18.9
Teleop107.2
End26.7
Second
3082
#22
139.11.5
135.5137.0
Auto19.0
Teleop98.0
End23.2
red by 15.9
2574
#19
123.20.2
121.5121.3
Auto18.8
Teleop90.4
End13.6
Third
2207
#24
120.42.9
116.6119.5
Auto14.4
Teleop91.7
End18.7
red by 1.2
4665
#47
119.20.9
120.1119.2
Auto17.2
Teleop91.3
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed