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Qual 782018 Minnesota North Star Regional
Red273
2549137.1
3871140.7
6749123.3
Blue412
3883133.5
2883146.1
5278144.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2433410100200300400500273412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3871
#17
140.71.8
134.5→136.4
Auto16.5
Teleop110.1
End14.8
blue by 5.4
2883
#28
146.10.6
145.9→145.3
Auto15.6
Teleop113.5
End17.7
Second
2549
#8
137.12.1
132.1→134.2
Auto17.5
Teleop102.1
End18.7
blue by 7.8
5278
#7
144.93.9
132.9→136.8
Auto19.4
Teleop111.3
End15.4
Third
6749
#53
123.32.3
126.5→124.2
Auto13.7
Teleop97.9
End9.5
blue by 10.2
3883
#18
133.50.8
130.7→131.5
Auto18.5
Teleop103.1
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed