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Red439
529095.7
3130187.9
3633166.6
Blue297
2606142.7
2574123.2
336789.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4152290100300500600439297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
187.92.3
180.2182.5
Auto23.5
Teleop139.8
End26.6
red by 45.3
2606
#27
142.74.0
138.7142.7
Auto16.6
Teleop108.4
End19.9
Second
166.62.3
162.0164.3
Auto18.7
Teleop129.0
End21.7
red by 43.4
2574
#19
123.20.6
121.3121.9
Auto18.8
Teleop90.4
End13.6
Third
5290
#51
95.71.1
94.695.7
Auto14.7
Teleop76.4
End6.9
red by 6.3
3367
#50
89.40.0
89.489.4
Auto17.8
Teleop63.6
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed