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Red393
7258113.1
4778129.1
1625178.0
Blue291
2129120.5
4230149.7
2225126.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341312100200400500600393291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.01.9
172.8174.6
Auto27.9
Teleop120.5
End32.2
red by 28.3
149.71.0
147.9148.9
Auto17.7
Teleop109.6
End23.6
Second
4778
#34
129.11.2
127.9129.1
Auto15.9
Teleop102.6
End10.9
red by 2.9
2225
#41
126.22.3
120.7122.9
Auto13.4
Teleop99.3
End12.6
Third
7258
#31
113.11.3
114.4113.1
Auto17.4
Teleop88.2
End7.4
blue by 7.4
2129
#40
120.50.1
120.4120.5
Auto13.4
Teleop92.1
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed