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Red267
3840131.6
2509149.2
3299136.4
Blue298
2846149.0
3244149.4
3038140.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296369200400500600267298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.20.5
148.7149.2
Auto19.6
Teleop103.7
End27.7
blue by 0.3
149.41.7
142.0143.7
Auto23.2
Teleop107.8
End22.5
Second
3299
#21
136.40.6
135.8136.4
Auto17.0
Teleop101.6
End17.4
blue by 12.6
2846
#36
149.00.1
149.1149.0
Auto18.5
Teleop115.5
End15.5
Third
3840
#23
131.60.1
131.5131.6
Auto16.5
Teleop103.7
End8.3
blue by 8.7
3038
#15
140.30.9
136.2137.1
Auto15.8
Teleop110.2
End16.8