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Semifinal 1-12018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red351
2846149.0
3244149.4
3038140.3
Blue262
1816133.3
233164.2
3102120.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355297100200400500600700351262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3244
#9
149.41.5
143.7→145.3
Auto23.2
Teleop107.8
End22.5
blue by 14.7
233
#4
164.20.8
162.8→163.5
Auto21.5
Teleop121.0
End24.1
Second
2846
#36
149.00.1
149.0→149.0
Auto18.5
Teleop115.5
End15.5
red by 15.6
1816
#16
133.30.3
132.8→133.1
Auto17.1
Teleop97.9
End18.9
Third
3038
#15
140.30.8
137.1→137.9
Auto15.8
Teleop110.2
End16.8
red by 19.8
3102
#13
120.40.0
120.6→120.5
Auto19.9
Teleop89.5
End9.1