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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red452
4607140.5
5172207.3
4536119.4
Blue171
3298111.3
2501146.0
2181155.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394283100200500600700452171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#2
207.30.5
205.4→205.9
Auto27.5
Teleop138.6
End40.8
red by 51.5
2181
#17
155.90.3
155.4→155.7
Auto19.5
Teleop113.5
End23.2
Second
4607
#27
140.50.0
140.2→140.2
Auto16.8
Teleop106.9
End17.9
blue by 5.5
2501
#8
146.00.6
144.9→145.5
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End24.0
Third
4536
#46
119.40.2
118.7→118.9
Auto14.1
Teleop86.3
End17.0
red by 8.2
3298
#47
111.30.1
111.6→111.4
Auto19.5
Teleop80.8
End12.1