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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red456
4607140.5
5172207.3
4536119.4
Blue324
3298111.3
2501146.0
2181155.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401274100200500600700456324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#2
207.30.5
205.9→206.4
Auto27.5
Teleop138.6
End40.8
red by 51.5
2181
#17
155.90.2
155.7→155.9
Auto19.5
Teleop113.5
End23.2
Second
4607
#27
140.50.1
140.2→140.3
Auto16.8
Teleop106.9
End17.9
blue by 5.5
2501
#8
146.00.5
145.5→146.0
Auto18.4
Teleop108.6
End24.0
Third
4536
#46
119.40.2
118.9→119.1
Auto14.1
Teleop86.3
End17.0
red by 8.2
3298
#47
111.30.2
111.4→111.3
Auto19.5
Teleop80.8
End12.1