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Red243
2502164.0
3026130.0
4207136.2
Blue387
5434142.5
2052184.1
5913130.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317353100200400500600243387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.00.2
163.7163.9
Auto23.7
Teleop110.0
End31.4
blue by 20.1
184.10.6
181.0181.6
Auto28.0
Teleop135.4
End20.0
Second
4207
#12
136.20.2
136.8136.6
Auto17.1
Teleop105.9
End11.1
blue by 6.3
5434
#18
142.50.5
139.9140.3
Auto25.7
Teleop104.4
End13.7
Third
130.01.3
127.6128.8
Auto21.8
Teleop100.6
End11.1
blue by 0.5
5913
#22
130.40.5
127.5128.0
Auto17.2
Teleop97.2
End15.6