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Qual 102018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red278
3038140.3
223992.0
6709116.5
Blue272
3839117.0
2515101.8
3745125.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982710100200400500600700278272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3038
#15
140.316.0
74.1→90.2
Auto15.8
Teleop110.2
End16.8
red by 14.5
3745
#34
125.80.4
123.0→123.4
Auto19.3
Teleop95.2
End9.2
Second
6709
#25
116.515.7
77.2→92.9
Auto16.3
Teleop88.5
End9.5
blue by 0.5
3839
#31DQ
117.015.5
79.5→94.9
Auto15.1
Teleop86.0
End13.7
Third
2239
#55
92.016.1
73.3→89.4
Auto12.3
Teleop75.8
End5.2
blue by 9.8
2515
#59
101.817.4
62.5→79.8
Auto12.9
Teleop83.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed