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Qual 112018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red131
223295.3
4664106.2
2823132.1
Blue398
2052184.1
5637115.8
2509149.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373550100200300400500600131398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#5
132.10.3
128.6→128.3
Auto23.2
Teleop96.5
End13.0
blue by 52.0
2052
#6
184.10.9
171.6→172.5
Auto28.0
Teleop135.4
End20.0
Second
4664
#42
106.27.5
82.1→89.6
Auto16.4
Teleop85.5
End6.2
blue by 43.0
2509
#1
149.22.9
131.5→134.4
Auto19.6
Teleop103.7
End27.7
Third
2232
#54
95.310.9
89.0→99.9
Auto12.6
Teleop77.9
End8.1
blue by 20.4
5637
#14
115.812.0
78.9→90.9
Auto17.9
Teleop82.9
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed