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Red250
3298111.3
253299.8
3018130.6
Blue254
2500123.3
4549114.8
3244149.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2582970100200400500600700250254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3018
#28
130.611.2
93.0104.2
Auto16.3
Teleop100.2
End15.6
blue by 18.9
149.413.5
87.2100.8
Auto23.2
Teleop107.8
End22.5
Second
3298
#47
111.31.7
106.4108.1
Auto19.5
Teleop80.8
End12.1
blue by 12.0
2500
#35
123.30.1
124.0124.1
Auto16.0
Teleop95.4
End10.9
Third
2532
#43
99.87.3
82.890.2
Auto14.1
Teleop82.8
End1.3
blue by 15.0
4549
#11
114.82.1
118.6116.5
Auto16.8
Teleop81.1
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed