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Qual 142018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red427
3026130.0
233164.2
4207136.2
Blue297
2181155.9
2498120.4
2502164.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275335100200400500600427297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#4
164.22.0
143.1→145.1
Auto21.5
Teleop121.0
End24.1
red by 0.2
2502
#7
164.00.9
152.3→153.1
Auto23.7
Teleop110.0
End31.4
Second
4207
#12
136.212.5
94.0→106.4
Auto17.1
Teleop105.9
End11.1
blue by 19.6
2181
#17
155.92.1
143.9→146.0
Auto19.5
Teleop113.5
End23.2
Third
3026
#3
130.01.0
108.6→109.6
Auto21.8
Teleop100.6
End11.1
red by 9.6
2498
#45
120.48.9
92.0→100.8
Auto16.7
Teleop88.2
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned