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Red233
3407101.9
3454105.7
3102120.4
Blue157
248098.0
6709116.5
3840131.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313030100400500600700233157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#13
120.40.9
118.7117.8
Auto19.9
Teleop89.5
End9.1
blue by 11.2
3840
#23
131.62.6
127.9130.4
Auto16.5
Teleop103.7
End8.3
Second
3454
#52
105.78.1
84.692.7
Auto14.4
Teleop85.8
End3.3
blue by 10.8
6709
#25
116.510.0
92.9103.0
Auto16.3
Teleop88.5
End9.5
Third
3407
#53
101.99.2
82.992.1
Auto13.8
Teleop82.2
End7.7
red by 3.9
2480
#51
98.07.5
78.886.3
Auto13.5
Teleop79.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed