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Qual 162018 Medtronic Foundation Regional
Red172
2518128.1
7068114.8
3299136.4
Blue253
2825104.8
3081113.9
3184151.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26230105001,0001,5002,0002,500172253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3299
#21
136.48.7
97.3→106.1
Auto17.0
Teleop101.6
End17.4
blue by 15.1
3184
#19
151.51.7
147.6→149.3
Auto19.7
Teleop114.1
End17.4
Second
2518
#37
128.113.0
87.7→100.6
Auto14.4
Teleop97.4
End20.1
red by 14.3
3081
#29
113.91.2
116.8→115.6
Auto14.6
Teleop85.0
End13.2
Third
7068
#44
114.811.8
77.7→89.5
Auto12.9
Teleop91.0
End10.7
red by 10.0
2825
#33
104.813.3
82.8→96.1
Auto15.8
Teleop85.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed